The Relative Strength Index (RSI). is one of the most widely-used momentum oscillators in technical analysis. developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. in 1978. The typical oversold/overbought thresholds of 30. and 70 have become trade signals:. RSI below 30 often suggests oversold (potential bounce). above 70 suggests overbought (possible reversal).
Given that, many traders ask: “If RSI is 70 (or around 70), is that bullish or bearish?” In this article we will dive into what an RSI reading near 70 means. the context in which it can be bullish or bearish, how to interpret it correctly-. the limitations of relying on a single level, and practical trading tips.
What Does an RSI Reading of ~70 Mean?
RSI Basics
-
The RSI is, calculated typically- over 14 periods (bars). by comparing average gains vs average losses.
-
The result oscillates between 0 and 100. A value above 50 indicates more recent gains. than losses; below 50 indicates more recent losses than gains.
-
The “textbook” thresholds: above 70 → overbought; below 30 → oversold.
What about “Near 70”?
When the RSI is around 70 (say in the range 65-75 depending on your setting):
-
On one hand, it may signal strong bullish momentum (price has been rising strongly- to push RSI up).
-
, it may signal a warning:. the asset may be “overbought”, meaning the recent upward push may be, stretched. and a pullback or reversal could be more likely.
Thus: an RSI reading of ~70 is not inherently- bullish or bearish. — the interpretation depends heavily- on market context, trend strength, timeframe. and how price is behaving.
When RSI ≈ 70 Can Be Bullish
1. In a Strong Uptrend
In markets with a strong uptrend, the RSI often stays high. and may frequently- touch or exceed 70 without immediate reversal.
In such cases, an RSI around 70 might simply-. reflect strong momentum rather than an imminent reversal. In fact, in a bullish trend:
-
RSI may oscillate in, say, 50-80 zone rather than dipping into “oversold”.
-
Traders may interpret RSI around 70 as confirmation of the uptrend’s strength. not necessarily- a sell signal.
2. A Pullback Signal within an Uptrend
If the RSI before dropped below a mid-level (say 50) within a bullish trend. and then climbs back to ~70, it may signal the trend is resuming. Using RSI in context of trend structure, an RSI returning toward 70 can be a bullish sign.
3. Momentum Confirmation
An RSI of ~70 may simply- confirm that buyers are in control and momentum is strong. In this sense, it is bullish — if accompanied by rising price. and trend filters (higher highs, higher lows, supportive volume).
Key point: In a bullish structure, RSI ~70 can be a positive signal. not a warning, provided the trend context supports it.
When RSI ≈ 70 Can Be Bearish
1. Overbought Condition and Potential Reversal
The classic interpretation: when RSI rises above 70. it may say that the asset is overbought (i.e., recent gains far exceed recent losses). and is susceptible to a correction or reversal. For example, some sources say:
“If RSI exceeds 70, pay attention to possible pullback.”
So if you see RSI ~70 and price is near a known resistance. or divergence patterns are forming, it may be a bearish warning.
2. Bearish Failure Swing
A “failure swing” in RSI is a powerful bearish signal:. RSI rises above 70, then falls below the prior high, fails to exceed the previous high. then breaks below its prior low — this signals momentum breakdown.
3. Strong Uptrend Exhaustion
If the momentum that drove RSI up is running out of steam (price stalls, volume fades, divergence). an RSI around 70 may mark the end of that move. In that sense, RSI 70 can be a caution.
Why You Cannot Rely Solely- on “RSI 70 = Sell” or “RSI 70 = Buy”
1. Market Context Matters
-
If the market is trending strongly-, RSI may remain above 70. for prolonged periods without a reversal.
-
In a sideways/ranging market, RSI near 70 may be more meaningful as a possible reversal.
2. Timeframes
RSI readings on different timeframes behave differently-. An RSI 70 on a 5-minute chart might mean something very different than RSI 70 on a weekly chart. Lower timeframes can give many false signals.
3. False Signals
The oversimplified rule “RSI above 70 = sell” is widely- cautioned against. Experienced traders emphasise that RSI measures momentum, not absolute value. AccumulationPro
4. Other Indicators and Price Action Must Be, Confirmed
RSI is best used alongside other analysis:. trend direction, support/resistance, moving averages, divergence, volume.
5. Adjustments Are Sometimes Required
In strong markets, some traders adjust thresholds (e.g., overbought at 80 rather. than 70) to reduce false alarms.
How to Interpret RSI ≈ 70 in Practice: A Step-by-Step Guide
Here’s a practical checklist you can use when you see an RSI reading around 70:
-
Check the trend direction
-
Is price making higher highs and higher lows (uptrend)?
-
Or is price in a downtrend or in a range?
-
-
Check price action / support & resistance
-
Is the asset near a major resistance level or trendline?
-
Is there a bearish candlestick pattern forming?
-
-
Check divergence
-
If price makes a new high, does RSI make a lower high (bearish divergence)?
-
Conversely-, if price makes a new high and RSI also makes a new high, less warning.
-
-
Check volume / momentum
-
Is the move into 70 accompanied by strong volume (which may support continuation)?
-
Or is volume weak, signalling a weakening move?
-
-
Check timeframe consistency
-
What does the RSI look like on higher timeframe?
-
Does the move above 70 align with weekly/monthly context?
-
-
Decide your bias
-
If uptrend + RSI ~70 + no divergence + strong volume → bullish bias, possible continuation.
-
If RSI ~70 + near major resistance. + divergence or weakening volume → caution, bearish bias or await reversal.
-
-
Manage risk
-
If entering a long position, set stop-loss below recent swing low.
-
If expecting a reversal. ensure you have confirmation (for example, RSI crosses back below 70. or price breaks support).
-
Case Studies / Examples
Example A: RSI ≈ 70 in a Strong Uptrend
Imagine a stock has been trending upward for months. RSI is cycling between 50-80. On a pullback, RSI drops to ~45, then moves back up to ~70. In this scenario, the RSI reaching 70 is not a sell signal per se—it may simply- reflect the momentum of the uptrend. A trader might interpret the RSI 70 as a sign of strength and look for continuation.
Example B: RSI ≈ 70 Near Resistance with Divergence
Another stock has rallied sharply- and approaches a known horizontal resistance. RSI moves above 70, but price makes a new high while RSI makes a lower high (bearish divergence). Volume is falling.
Here, RSI 70 is a caution flag:. the bullish momentum may be fading, indicating potential reversal or consolidation. This is the classic “overbought → possible pullback” scenario.
What Should Traders & Investors Do when RSI is ~70?
For Traders
-
Swing Traders: If RSI ~70, test market context. If uptrend intact, you might stay long or add on pullback. If red flags (divergence, resistance, weak volume). present—consider reducing exposure or tightening stop-loss.
-
Short-Term Traders: On intraday/time-frame basis, RSI touching 70. might offer a short opportunity—but only when combined with price/tape confirmation.
-
Trend Followers: May ignore the “70 = sell” rule in strong uptrends. instead use RSI to confirm trend strength.
For Investors
-
Use RSI 70 as a warning signal, not an automatic sell trigger. If fundamentals remain strong, you may hold through the high RSI—but check for signs of reversal.
-
Consider taking partial profits or hedging if RSI hits ~70. and other signs of exhaustion are present.
Risk Management
-
Always set stop-loss: For long positions when RSI ~70 + red flags = stop loss below last swing low.
-
Use position sizing: Higher RSI + weaker confirmation signals. = smaller position or no new entry.
-
Use other indicators: e.g., MACD, moving averages, support/resistance, volume. RSI should complement, not replace, other tools.
Common Misconceptions and Mistakes
-
Misconception: “RSI above 70 means instant reversal” Reality:. RSI above 70 simply- means strong recent gains; reversal is possible, but not automatic. In a strong trend, RSI can stay elevated for long periods.
-
Mistake: Using RSI thresholds identically- across all assets and timeframes. RSI behavior varies across asset class (stocks vs forex vs crypto) and timeframe. Change may be, needed. CoinHint
-
Mistake: Ignoring trend context A common rookie error: treating RSI 70 as sell in all cases. Without examining whether the market is trending. or ranging, this can lead to missed opportunities or premature exits.
-
Misunderstanding: RSI tells you “what”, but not “why” RSI tells you momentum has been strong (or weak). It doesn’t tell you cause (fundamentals, news, sector move). Use it as a tool, not the entire trading strategy.
Frequently- Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q1. If RSI is exactly 70, should I sell immediately?
A: No. An RSI of ~70 is a signal to pay attention, not an automatic sell rule. You need to consider trend, price action, volume, divergence, and timeframe.
Q2. Can RSI exceed 70 and still the price go up significantly-?
A: Yes — especially in strong uptrends. RSI can rise above 70 and stay elevated while price continues to climb. That’s why blindly- selling when RSI >70 can mean exiting too early.
Q3. Does RSI ~70 always mean overbought and thus bearish?
A: No. “Overbought” means recent momentum is strong; it may increase the chance of a pullback. but it is not guaranteed. Context matters.
Q4. What about RSI below 70 e.g., 65 or 60? A: Those levels may be part of “healthy momentum” zones in an uptrend. Some traders might only treat RSI reaching 80+ as a serious overbought warning.
Q5. Should I adjust RSI thresholds (for example to 80/20) for certain markets?
A: Yes — in very volatile markets (crypto, small caps), thresholds like 80/20. (instead of 70/30) can reduce false signals.
Summary: Is RSI 70 Bullish or Bearish?
-
An RSI reading of ~70 is neither inherently- bullish nor inherently- bearish.
-
Bullish interpretation:. In a strong uptrend, RSI ~70 may mean momentum is strong and trend may continue.
-
Bearish interpretation:. RSI ~70 can signal overextension, especially when combined with resistance, divergence. weak volume → risk of pullback.
-
The correct interpretation depends on context: trend direction, price structure, divergence, volume, timeframe.
-
RSI should not be, used in isolation. Use it as part of your trading/investment toolkit with proper risk management.
In short: when you see RSI ~70, ask yourself: “Is the market showing strength. and can it keep going, or is it showing signs of topping out?”
Your answer to that will determine whether you take it as bullish confirmation. or a bearish warning.